THE ENTRY OF THE WORLD SYSTEM INTO A NEW CRISIS-MILITARISTIC PHASE OF CYCLIC DEVELOPMENT
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.36004/nier.es.2024.2-01Keywords:
militarization, world-system, global military-economic cycles, local-global military-economic cycles, crisis-militaristic phases, sustainable development, instability, local-global conflicts.Abstract
The relevance of the study is associated with the beginning of the crisis-militaristic stage in the cyclical development of the world system, and therefore with the strengthening of militarization at the global and local-global levels. The current crisis-militaristic stage 2020–2050 is an integral part of the current long cycles of world politics, hegemony cycles, systemic cycles of capital accumulation, as well as Kondratieff cycles. In historical retrospect, this took the form of thirty years of world wars and entailed destabilization of socio-economic development. The purpose of the study is to substantiate the entry of the world system into the regime of the crisis-militaristic phase of its cyclical development, which is a cyclical change of periods of relative stability with periods of its loss, immersion in crisis-militaristic instability, and also to explore the influence of local-global cycles on this process. In our research we applied primarily logical and historical methods, as well as dialectical ascent from the abstract to the concrete, including general scientific methods of analysis and synthesis. Main results of the study: during the crisis-militaristic phases of global cycles, the geopolitical system of global capitalism is plunged into the strongest instability, at the same time it is tested for strength; since the second half of the ХХ century, the aggravation of geopolitical contradictions has led to the unleashing of local-global conflicts; in cyclical geopolitical processes, local-global cycles of countries playing process-forming roles in the world geopolitical system play an important role; there are sufficient grounds to assert that the modern world-system is entering a crisis-militaristic phase of cyclical development. The local-global conflicts taking place today initiate a new cycle of militarization on a global and local-global scale; so far, a trend towards a steady increase in arms sales has already formed.
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